Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.751677 5.130692 5.547435 6.044029 6.625630 7.293003 8.128558
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.318218 4.820219 5.407741 6.160515 7.122325 8.345738 10.086246
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.996399 4.580842 5.300744 6.282999 7.643473 9.563148 12.715972
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.822179 4.495546 5.368347 6.640544 8.569802 11.662576 17.881828
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.480700 4.157609 5.062763 6.438956 8.658122 12.567123 21.912854
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.318164 4.039126 5.041351 6.650711 9.473711 15.200617 33.915681
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.152964 3.899845 4.973374 6.783804 10.225271 18.342553 59.816527
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.935496 3.666727 4.739897 6.607742 10.357218 20.259054 102.235436
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.730037 3.434656 4.484782 6.356494 10.277285 21.671037 199.717109
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.686248 3.436226 4.595004 6.782880 11.895689 31.621338 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.720658 3.558886 4.919858 7.713826 15.507918 73.342786 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.633122 3.483131 4.898643 7.938211 17.365713 152.276355 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.477335 3.302837 4.702447 7.808220 18.277535 416.886194 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.348290 3.156279 4.552146 7.760721 19.662708 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.236722 3.030055 4.426034 7.750787 21.436291 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.171350 2.976093 4.431914 8.096563 26.178038 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.040169 2.800086 4.179270 7.674100 25.327996 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.974027 2.732015 4.135586 7.844311 29.817503 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.905437 2.654573 4.064205 7.919709 34.413598 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.813199 2.529478 3.881728 7.606979 34.070260 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.722892 2.403232 3.687286 7.222574 32.267092 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.702238 2.399991 3.752115 7.701407 45.897015 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.716218 2.460453 3.964443 8.818865 114.557674 NaN NaN